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From the Editor’s Desk Sreedhar, no more Timmaraju Sreedhar Rao – Sreedhar, to the whole world – breathed his last at around 6:30 PM on 4 September, 2008. For the past year, the ebullient Sreedhar that people knew seemed to become increasingly aware of his advancing years at 66. He had even stopped listening to the argument that he was not that old. He also lost his wife about 6 months ago. Sreedhar was the Managing Editor of World Focus. A former Senior Fellow of the premier Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, he was a visiting professor of the Jawaharlal Nehru University, a fellow of the Princeton University and the Australian National University. But he was much more. He impacted the breadth of the security policies of India for more than three decades. Sreedhar was of that school where the national consensus on India’s security was unalterable and undivided. Coupled with his absolute patriotism, this often translated into an unquestioning attitude towards government policies in the security realm. And in that he was completely non-partisan. One could argue endlessly on that principle of his using the most incisive logic. One could even have shouting matches with him. But he would be unshakable. This would give an impression to a person who did not know him that he was orthodox in his belief system. He was far from that. In the arena of the policy elite, he was a man of plebian origins. He broke into those circles by dint of sheer merit. But he retained his rebelliousness in the way he looked at world developments. Not fearful of any concerns that he could ignite by his pronouncements, Sreedhar would never mince his words in the way he related his studied opinions on public television or private policy dialogues. His only orthodoxy was about hard work. He would judge the youth – just breaking into policy analyses – on the basis of their dedication to work and their intellect. Like some of us, he would be unflinching in his promotion of the young, once he was convinced about their abilities. He would say that he has inherited this trait from the man he considered his guru – K Subramanyam. This transparent Sreedhar is with us physically no more. Never again will we hear his intense and stentorian voice ring out on issues of concern. But if we are to uphold his legacy, we would uphold his faith and belief in India. World Focus has lost the man, but has in its portals his beliefs. His readers amongst students, research scholars and the academic community will now judge us at World Focus by his standards. We continue to remain Indo-centric, unfashionable in some quarters, but undaunted. We will never say, “Sree, no more!” New Delhi G .Kishore Babu September 2008 Editor

From Absolute Monarchy to Republic in Nepal: 

Implications for India

Dr. Tridib Chakraborti and Mohor Chakraborty

 

The recent change of guard in Nepal has drastically altered the geo-political and security considerations of the South Asian region. The economic deprivation of the common masses of Nepal over the years has been a major determinant in leading the Maoist Party (CPN-M) into limelight in the wake of the just-conducted elections. However, what role this Party, under the leadership of Prachanda, will play for moulding the future of Nepal remains the most pertinent question in recent months. India’s experience of the Maoist groups has not been a kaleidoscope of sweet memories. Moreover, its past relations with Nepal have not depicted a sugar-coated portrait in the annals of history, since it was based on mutual suspicion and mistrust. Nevertheless, in the changed political perspective, the manner in which India, being the leader of the South Asian region and an emerging economic power in the new global order, will act with this new leadership in its neighbourhood remains a million-dollar question as well.

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Nepal’s Maoists in the Political Mainstream:  April 2006 (Jana Andolan II) - April 2008 (Constituent Assembly Elections)

             Padmaja Murthy

 

Jana Andolan II of April 2006 marks the beginning of a decisive phase in implementing the agenda of socio-economic-political transformation in Nepal. The events that followed have brought to the fore, people and issues that have resulted in changing permanently the manner in which politics will henceforth be conducted in Nepal. One of the most important developments of this period was bringing the Maoists into the political mainstream. This important process has given rise to certain important developments. First, the Maoists democratic credentials have been tested with mixed results. At times the Maoists have been a factor of stability and on other occasions their actions have led to instability and uncertainty. Second, influenced by the Maoists methods, the marginalised, janajatis and Madhesis organized themselves to effectively influence the course of events and attain definite assurances on an inclusive society. In asserting their demands, many of them resorted to violence. Third, following Maoists persistence, Nepal has been declared a republic and the monarchy has come to an end. Fourth, the antagonistic relations between India and Nepal’s Maoists have changed resulting in trust among the two. Fifth and most important, Nepaesei politics has moved beyond individuals and parties. What has been mainstreamed is an agenda wherein inclusive politics has to be practiced and implemented by whoever comes to power. Despite their many weaknesses, the Maoists can take the credit for being the catalyst to initiate change in Nepal to make it an inclusive society.  On a broader canvas, the process of bringing the Maoists to the political mainstream brings out important lessons on conflict management, conflict prevention and conflict escalation.

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Dump the ancien régime

           Pinaki Bhattacharya

 

While visiting Nepal in mid-June, one could come across numerous members of the Nepalese elite who would look thunder struck and say ‘strange are ways of the common people.’ By that they mean to talk about the electoral verdict the Nepalese people have delivered. Some even lament about the ‘fickleness’ of human nature, which led the long deprived Nepalese to throw out the monarchy; and relegate the traditional parties like NC and the CPN (UML) to what should have been peripheral roles in an otherwise hugely transformative moment of Nepalese politics.

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US-NEPAL Relations

           Esha Pandey

 

Has the world really come to post-Americanism? Can we do without America? These are some of the integral question, which the “new world” and the intelligentsia are pondering over. For a small landlocked country like Nepal; it is a question of survival. This article elucidates and evaluates US Nepal relations in the light of ‘Peoples’ Revolution’ and forthcoming democracy by focusing on the following issues: US aid, military assistance, Maoist insurgency and human rights concerns.

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China’s inroad into Nepal

           Dr. Anil Kumar Mohapatra

 

China’s renewed interest in Nepal has been a fact. Gone are the days of 1961 and 1989 when the PRC was found to be in two different roles vis-ŕ-vis Nepal, first as a protector of Nepal when Chinese foreign Minister Chen Yi warned the outside powers not to interfere in Nepal; and second when it disappointed Nepal’s expectations that China could come to its rescue which was then reeling under economic hardships following the Indian trade blockade in 1988.China today has emerged as a great military and economic power in the world. In a changed scenario China’s ‘peripheral policy’ (policy towards its Asian neighbours) has undergone a sea change but its interests in Nepal remains intact. It wishes to see a stable and peaceful Nepal as it believes that would promote peace, stability and development in the entire region including Tibet Autonomous Region in China. China does not wish to see Nepal as a ‘failed state’ as it will have its bearing on Tibet including an insurgency threat and a possible involvement of external forces who might threaten Chinese control over Tibet. The railway line connecting Katmandu is expected to be completed within the next five years. Nepal is being persuaded to provide a transit link between China and India. With the drastic change in the political system and guard in Nepal China remains very watchful in dealing with Nepal which is strategically very important to China. Nepal successfully backed Chinese entry into SAARC as an observer against India’s wishes. The way Nepal is handling the pro-Tibet protest movements are the instances of Nepal’s fidelity to China. Last but not the least, Prachanda (the Federal Democratic Republic of Nepal’s just elected Prime Minister)’s preference in visiting China on 24th August,2008 instead of India (despite Dr. Manmohan Singh’s invitation)  has been an instance of ‘tradition break’ which shows  how much importance Nepal’s has conceded to China. The trip has been undertaken despite it was conveyed to him that it might send negative message to India. Now it remains to be seen how long this tryst continues between Nepal and China since China was critical of the Maoists until the other day. However very recently, before leaving for Beijing to attend the closing ceremony of the Beijing Olympics Prime Minister Prachanda has indicated that Nepal’s dealing with both the giant neighbours will be based on ‘Panchasheel Principles’ and there will be ‘Panchasheel ties’. ‘Could this stop China’s making inroads into Nepal (?)’- the Future will have the answer.

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The Great Transition in Nepal:

Implications for India’s Northeast

Samir Kumar Das

 

According to the intelligence reports widely available in the public domain, some neighbouring countries - not quite known for their friendliness towards India - are out to create turmoil in a region that is otherwise strategically crucial for India’s territorial integrity. Now that Gorkha Janmukti Morcha (GJM), as we will see later, is insisting on the inclusion of Siliguri (of northern West Bengal) in the proposed map of Gorkhaland, there is nagging apprehension especially on two counts: First, Siliguri is part of the critical ‘chicken neck’ with its meager 21-kilometer width and provides the only gateway to the already troubled Northeast with its constituent eight states. Second, the demand for the creation of Gorkhaland is regarded as only a preparing ground for complete secession from India and the formation of a sovereign state in near future. If such a state were ever formed, India’s tenuous surface link with the already troubled Northeast will be completely severed. In other words, ‘Greater Nepal’, according to these intelligence sources, is actually part of a greater design of inflicting ‘a thousand cuts’ on India by some of her neighbours who have understandably developed a vested interest in fatally weakening India.

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Indo-Nepal Relations:

The Economic Dimensions  

             Dr. Bharti Chhibber

 

India’s small neighbour in the north, Nepal is creating history these days. With the end of monarchy whose last remnants were removed with the stepping down of King Gyanendra, Nepal is moving towards a more democratic process. Economic relations between the two states often go beyond the purely economic reason influenced by the geographical proximity, geo-political issues, historical trade relations, and similarity of culture. On the geo-political front, Nepal is considered as a buffer state between India and China which increases its importance.  While trying to counterbalance India’s pre-eminent position in the South Asian region, at times Nepal has tried to be friendlier with China. As for India, its regional security policy is based on the assumption of South Asia as a single strategic area. Moreover, the long open- porous border and non-existence of visa system have created an environment conducive to free trade between India and Nepal.  Now with the Maoists chief at the helm of affairs as Nepal’s prime minister it is time for both India and Nepal to work on their political and economic relations with a vision that along with the continuity required also gives it a fresh perspective to make Indo-Nepal ties economically viable and beneficial to both the countries. The globalisation process, access to vast Indian market and the need for better management and exploitation of natural resources, especially for Nepal has increased the need for better relationship between the two countries.

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